Text Callout : Key Takeaways - What a Recession Would Mean for Mortgage Rates The probability of a recession in the next year has been steadily rising since President Donald Trump's Liberation Day ...

A December Fed rate cut is once again looking likely, but that doesn’t necessarily mean mortgage rates will drop. Today’s 30-year mortgage rates are sitting near a 13-month low, but they can move in ...

After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in this range is only 0.02% higher than the probability of the 1% to 2% range.

Sabrina Karl has over two decades of experience writing about savings, CDs, and other banking topics. She is currently a full-time staff writer at Investopedia and one of the country's top experts on ...